Introduction

Human Brain: Normal -> Mild Cognitively Impared - > Alzheimers Disease

Human Brain: Normal -> Mild Cognitively Impared - > Alzheimers Disease

Alzheimers Disease (AD) is a progressive disease that destroys memory and other important mental functions. It is the 6th leading cause of death in the US, and it does not have a cure. The latter fact strongly affects a family of a newly diagnosed with AD patient. Exploring the landscape of ongoing clinical trials, targeting AD, is the next step family takes to assess possible treatment options. Clinicaltrials.gov is a database of clinical studies conducted around the world and is a great place to start exploring experimental treatment possibilities. It has user friendly interface and provides extensive amount of clinical trials information. However, it could be overwhelming for someone without special training to dive through tabulated extensive information available at clinicaltrials.gov. A web-based visualization tool, which summaries Alzheimer`s Disease clinal trial information while sourcing data from clinicaltrials.gov, could be a useful tool for those families, impacted by the illness and seeking a quick visual reference guide on Alzheimers Disease clinical trials past and present research.

Data and methods

Data Source and Preprocessing

The data were obtained by downloading all results associated with a search for “alzheimer” on the website clinicaltrials.gov. Data were accessed on 11/09/2017. All studies associated with the search term were included regardless of whether the study had previously completed, terminated, or other enrollment status factors. The data used in analyses are available in the Data file on the github page and the primary datafile used in analysis is called SearchResultsTable.csv.

Additional variables of interest were obtained by downloading all the data from each webpage associated with all studys returned in the original “alzheimer” search. These data were also accessed on 11/09/2017. Source code for extracting these variables are available in the file Extracting_data_across_all_xml_files.Rmd also on the github page. An additional dataset called alzheimers_data containing all variables associated with each study identified during the “alzheimer” search.

The datasets SearchResultsTable.csv and alzheimers_data contain largely overlapping variables. The dataset SearchResultsTable.csv is generally more processed, particularly for natural language variables. However, alzheimers_data contains several variables not available in SearchResultsTable.csv that an interested future researcher may access.

Summary statistics

The primary datafile (SearchResultsTable.csv) contained informaton on 1,771 Alzheimer’s disease studies registered with ClinicalTrials.gov. We restricted our analysis on the 928 studies with study sites in the United States, and as of the November 9, 2017 data pull, the earliest clinical trial on Alzheimer’s Disease started on April 01, 1998 and the most recent on September 01, 2017.

We categorized the trials into 5 main categories based on study type and phase:

  • Observational: if a study is of study type observational (n = 133)

  • Phase 1/2: if a study is interventional, and phase is classifed as early Phase 1, Phase 1, or combined Phase 1/Phase 2 (n = 436)

  • Phase 3/4: if a study is interventional, and phase is classified as Phase 3, Phase 4, or combined Phase 3/Phase 4 (n = 204)

  • Unknown Phase: if a study is interventional, and phase was not specified (n = 155)

For each of the five categories, we examined the number of study sites, number of funders, and number of interventions (see Table 1 below).

Table 1. Descriptive statistics by study type
 Study Type 
 Observational   Phase 1/Phase 2   Phase 3/Phase 4   Unknown Phase 
 No. Study Sites 
   Mean  7.0 10.7 55.6 4.1
   Std. dev.  19.8 20.2 73.6 21.2
   Median  1.0 1.0 24.0 1.0
   Min.  1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
   Max.  145.0 142.0 348.0 249.0
 No. Funders 
   Mean  1.4 1.2 1.3 1.4
   Std. dev.  0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5
   Median  1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
   Min.  1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
   Max.  3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
 No. Interventions 
   Mean  1.6 1.9 1.8 1.9
   Std. dev.  1.0 1.0 0.9 1.1
   Median  1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
   Min.  1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
   Max.  6.0 6.0 6.0 8.0

We also examined the number of new studies each year. Figure 1 shows that there were peaks in the number of new studies in 2009 and 2016. If we look closely in Figure 2, we can see that the spike in 2009 is due to the large increase in Phase 1 and/or Phase 2 studies, which is indicative of a large number of new treatments being investigated. This happened because major pharmaceutical efforts were concentrated around finding a cure for Alzheimers Disease with promising drug candidates in pipeline. The spike in 2016, however, appears to be due to the combination of increased unclassified (in terms of study phase) trials, and a relatively high number of Phase 1/2 trials.

Exploratory analysis

To visualize how long each trial is expected to run, Gantt chart was created for those currently recruiting interventional phase 3 trials in the US with available starting and ending dates.

Interactive lineplot was created for those currently recruiting interventional phase 3 trials in the US with available age elligibility creteria to visualize the age range of targeted participants. A line in a plot represents a study, x-coordinates of a line (or length) represent study age elligibility, and y-coordinate of a line corresponds to a number of subjects enrolled in a study.

Interactive map was also created to allow users to visualize study locations based on user input specifications.

Results

The Gantt chart (Figure 3) shows that there are currently 28 US phase 3 actively recruiting studies which span over 10 years (2014-2024) with DIAN-TU being the longest study (expected to be run for 11 years) and PDM Dementia is the shortest study (duration 11 months).

Figure 3: Gantt chart for currently recruiting interventional phase 3 clinical trail
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Alzheimers Disease is the disease of an older population and clinical trials in the past were targeting older subjects. However, since many hundreds of clinical trials failed in finding a cure, research focuse has shifted to younger population as well, with the hope to prevent Alzheimers before the major damage to the brain is done in later stages of the disease. This can be observed from age eligibility plot (Figure 4), whish shows that although the largest in terms of the numebr of participants studies target older population, there are several late development interventional studies which enroll as early as from birth.

Figure 4: Eligible age and targeted enrollment for currently recruiting US interventional phase 3 clinical trails

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Figure 5 is an interactive map of US AD clinical trials. Unsurprisingly, the majority of recruiting studies for Alzheimer’s Disease are geographically centered in Florida, a state known for a high proportion of elderly residents. Clicking on city markers will take the user to the ClinicalTrials.gov webpage for that particular study, allowing easy access to more information.

Figure 5: Interactive map of US Alzheimers Disease studies

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Figure 5 is an interactive map of US AD clinical trials. Unsurprisingly, the majority of recruiting studies for Alzheimer’s Disease are geographically centered in Florida, a state known for a high proportion of elderly residents. Clicking on city markers will take the user to the ClinicalTrials.gov webpage for that particular study, allowing easy access to more information.

Figure 5: Interactive map of US Alzheimers Disease studies

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An interactive data table was created (Table 2, Appendix) to allow access to the dataset used in this analysis, if aditional information is needed.

Discussion

The Shiny dashboard created in this project creates a simple and user-friendly format for interested parties including physician and researchers with less statistical and the data savy patient to explore trends in Alzheimers-related clinical trials.

Possible future directions for this project include updating the Shiny dashboard so that it interacts in real time with the clinicaltrials.gov website. This would allow the data in the dashboard to continue to provide the most up to date information to the user, and would prevent the dashboard from becoming obsolete over time.

Other possible future directions include icorporating additional variables so that the user can gain a more complete picture of the avialable data. Another area of possible expansion might include developing a platform for the user to perform simple statistical tests on the data from within the project website.

Appendix

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